๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2009-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Manhattan Jaspers Canisius Golden Griffins Spread Result
Elo 43.7% 56.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% - โœ—
Margin 37.5% 62.5% +2.8 โœ— (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% - โœ—

Actual: Canisius Golden Griffins -14 (57-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Manhattan Jaspers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Pickett 36 9-16 2-5 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 21 4 -
B. Adams 33 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 1 2 6 10 -
A. Gabriel 29 6-11 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 13 7 -
D. Crawford 29 9-17 0-2 1-2 6 5 1 1 1 19 14 -
N. Walsh 24 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 3 0 1 5 7 -
P. Bouli 22 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 0 3 -
L. Jolicoeur 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Pearson 10 2-2 1-1 2-3 4 1 0 0 2 7 8 -
D. Coulibaly 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Beamon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Laue 1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Canisius Golden Griffins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Turner 37 4-7 0-1 5-8 4 6 0 0 4 13 12 -
J. Coles 35 4-12 2-6 5-6 7 1 0 0 4 15 7 -
G. Logins 28 3-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 7 1 -
R. Groves 22 0-5 0-3 2-3 1 2 1 0 4 2 -3 -
T. Vazquez-Simmons 22 3-6 0-1 4-5 8 0 0 1 2 10 11 -
E. Frazier 18 1-5 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
A. Hymes 11 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 0 -
R. Goldsberry 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
B. Bevilacqua 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Johnson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Gricius 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter