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2009-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 1.5% 98.5% -
Bradley-Terry 13.4% 86.6% -
Margin 3.0% 97.0% +19.1 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 59.7% 40.3% -
Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% -
Log Adjusted 16.5% 83.5% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 37 11-18 2-3 6-8 9 3 3 2 4 30 25 -
C. Webster 31 2-7 0-4 2-4 6 3 0 0 1 6 7 -
K. Wright 25 5-9 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 2 10 7 -
O. McNally 24 0-6 0-3 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 0 -4 -
B. Curry 17 2-7 1-3 0-1 2 2 2 0 0 5 4 -
K. Casey 16 3-6 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 1 2 9 4 -
A. Van Nest 15 3-6 2-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
D. Giger 13 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
P. Magnarelli 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 2 7 -
D. Miller 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dyson 38 8-23 0-1 8-13 14 9 3 2 4 24 25 -
K. Walker 38 6-9 2-3 6-8 4 4 2 0 2 20 19 -
S. Robinson 36 7-15 0-0 4-6 12 1 0 2 2 18 16 -
G. Edwards 34 3-5 0-0 6-6 5 1 1 6 3 12 17 -
A. Oriakhi 29 0-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 2 1 1 5 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 11 0-2 0-2 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
D. Beverly 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
C. Okwandu 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
D. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Trice 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter