Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.2% | 41.8% | -1.8 | ✗ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Landesberg | 35 | 8-20 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 2 | - |
| S. Zeglinski | 34 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| J. Jones | 29 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| W. Sherrill | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Meyinsse | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Sene | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Evans | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Baker | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Reed | 38 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| F. Sullivan | 37 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| L. Hargrove | 35 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| B. Knox | 31 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Waller | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| E. Ross | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Lett | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Gabriel | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Neysmith | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Malone | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Armstrong | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter