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2009-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 69.2% 30.8% -
Bradley-Terry 4.3% 95.7% -
Margin 26.4% 73.6% +5.7 (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 72.2% 27.8% -
Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.9% 25.1% -
Log Adjusted 74.8% 25.2% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners +17 (79-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Wise 29 6-14 3-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 15 6 -
J. Horne 26 5-12 3-4 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 13 7 -
S. Hill 25 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 5 3 -
K. Fogg 23 2-5 2-2 3-4 1 3 1 0 2 9 7 -
B. Lavender 23 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -3 -
D. Williams 18 4-5 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 0 0 11 14 -
L. Jones 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -5 -
K. Natyazhko 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 0 5 -
A. Jacobson 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
G. Judkins 8 2-3 1-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
D. Wise 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
D.J. Shumpert 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 1 1 0 0 0 4 -

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mason-Griffin 34 4-10 2-7 0-0 4 6 2 0 0 10 12 -
W. Warren 33 10-14 3-4 2-3 2 4 2 0 4 25 15 -
C. Davis 33 2-6 2-6 2-2 3 1 3 0 0 8 9 -
T. Crocker 33 3-7 1-2 6-6 5 1 2 1 0 13 15 -
T. Gallon 25 4-7 0-0 6-9 7 1 0 1 1 14 15 -
S. Pledger 15 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
R. Wright 14 3-5 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
A. Fitzgerald 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Willis 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Gerber 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Hardrick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T.J. Franklin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter