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2009-12-06

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 17.9% 82.1% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McCorvey 0 1-2 0-0 3-3 3 2 0 1 1 5 8 -
S. Lindsay 0 5-11 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 11 -1 -
D. Stevens 0 9-17 0-0 7-18 13 2 0 3 4 25 22 -
N. McKenith 0 1-9 0-2 3-4 6 6 3 0 5 5 6 -
S. Smith 0 3-9 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 1 3 7 4 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bursey 0 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 0 3 -
I. Lucas 0 8-18 1-8 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 17 0 -
W. Rolle 0 3-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 2 0 7 8 -
L. Broomfield 0 3-7 0-0 1-4 7 0 1 1 2 7 7 -
S. White 0 0-3 0-2 1-4 3 1 1 0 1 1 2 -

* = starter