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2009-12-06

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 17.9% 82.1% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.0% 59.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
J. McCorvey 0 1-2 - 3-3 3 2 1 1 5 8
S. Lindsay 0 5-11 1-2 - 1 2 4 11 -1
D. Stevens 0 9-17 - 7-18 13 2 3 4 25 22
N. McKenith 0 1-9 -2 3-4 6 6 3 5 5 6
S. Smith 0 3-9 -1 1-2 5 2 1 1 3 7 4

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
T. Bursey 0 -3 -1 - 3 1 2 3
I. Lucas 0 8-18 1-8 - 2 1 2 4 17 0
W. Rolle 0 3-5 - 1-2 2 1 1 2 7 8
L. Broomfield 0 3-7 - 1-4 7 1 1 2 7 7
S. White 0 -3 -2 1-4 3 1 1 1 1 2

* = starter