Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies -11 (48-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Bonner | 37 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 10-10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| D. Beitzel | 36 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Figures | 36 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Proctor | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| N. Kingman | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Osborne | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Lloyd | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Kaba | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| H. Brereton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 36 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| W. Cherry | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Qvale | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| J. McGillis | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Young | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| V. Banny | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Taylor | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Ward | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Selvig | 9 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Stockton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter