Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +6 (83-77). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dupre' | 30 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| K. Bell | 29 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Mychel Thompson | 27 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| L. Jackson | 26 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D. Suttle Jr. | 22 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Moore | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Willis | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Darby | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Kerry | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Agre | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Clardy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Odister | 35 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| S. Lewis | 35 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| W. Donahue | 33 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| L. Keeler | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 9-12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Hanson | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| W. Taylor | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Anderson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Brown | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter