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2009-12-05

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.1% 46.9% -
Margin 54.8% 45.2% -1.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 78.8% 21.2% -
Efficiency 90.5% 9.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% -
Log Adjusted 96.3% 3.7% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -3 (63-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jasper 33 1-4 1-3 0-2 3 2 3 0 1 3 6 -
O. Bellfield 30 6-12 3-5 0-0 6 2 2 0 5 15 8 -
T. Willis 23 5-9 1-3 3-4 1 5 2 0 0 14 13 -
C. Stanback 23 1-8 0-2 0-0 5 2 3 1 1 2 4 -
K. Wallace 22 2-6 2-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 6 5 -
A. Marshall 17 2-5 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 1 5 3 -
B. Massamba 16 4-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
M. Shaw 14 1-4 0-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
D. Santee 10 2-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 2 0 4 4 -
S. Jones Jr. 8 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Hawkins 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Cowels III 36 3-9 1-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 7 4 -
M. Trasolini 31 5-10 1-2 11-14 5 0 1 3 3 22 18 -
M. Santos 30 2-6 2-3 1-4 9 1 1 0 2 7 10 -
R. Smith 29 3-9 2-4 4-4 4 2 1 0 4 12 6 -
T. Payne 28 4-7 0-0 2-5 7 2 2 0 3 10 11 -
C. Cunningham 17 0-1 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
N. Harrison 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
T. Alexander 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 0 -4 -
P. Bach 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Mensah 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter