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2009-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 12.2% 87.8% -
Bradley-Terry 14.8% 85.2% -
Margin 6.3% 93.7% +14.8 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 24.6% 75.4% -
Efficiency 3.1% 96.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% -
Log Adjusted 40.9% 59.1% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -2 (75-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Smith 36 4-12 0-2 0-0 9 8 1 1 3 8 12 -
C.J. Harris 32 2-6 2-3 13-15 4 2 0 0 0 19 19 -
L.D. Williams 27 0-7 0-2 4-4 4 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
A. Aminu 25 4-11 1-1 0-2 5 0 0 0 2 9 1 -
C. McFarland 23 3-6 0-1 3-4 8 1 0 0 3 9 9 -
D. Weaver 20 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
A. Stewart 14 6-9 4-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 17 10 -
G. Clark 11 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
T. Woods 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
K. Tucker 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin 40 6-12 2-6 8-10 4 5 1 0 2 22 18 -
S. Gray 28 2-6 0-3 7-11 3 0 0 0 2 11 6 -
R. Sacre 26 2-7 0-0 3-7 9 1 0 2 1 7 11 -
D. Goodson 25 3-8 1-3 1-1 1 1 2 0 1 8 3 -
M. Arop 24 4-8 1-1 0-0 9 4 1 0 1 9 14 -
K. Olynyk 19 1-3 0-1 2-5 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
E. Harris 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 3 -
B. Kong 12 4-5 4-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 12 9 -
W. Foster 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
G. Gibbs 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G.J. Vilarino 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter