Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Fordham Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.1% | 26.9% | -5.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fordham Rams -21 (46-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Brown | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Jakubowski | 31 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Thomas | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| O. Polk | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 7 | - |
| M. Larson | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| E. Marschall | 19 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. McElroy | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Crawford | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Goins | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Kraus | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Erger | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gaston | 38 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 9-13 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 22 | - |
| A. Estwick | 31 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| B. Butler | 27 | 0-13 | 0-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| F. Alihodzic | 23 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| L. Brown | 18 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| B. Melvin | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| H. Tanner | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Green | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Thompson | 10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| N. Checovich | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Gordon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter