Model Predictions
| Model | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +18 (89-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McCollum | 30 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| D. Buchberger | 27 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| H. Greiner | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Hall | 23 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| G. Knutson | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| J. Maneri | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Adams | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Keefer | 15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| P. Small | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Ojo | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Shamis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| R. Peters | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Safstrom | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Johnson | 25 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| P. Williams | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| C. Wright | 22 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 16 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| M. Perry | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Warren | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Searcy | 12 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| R. Lowery | 8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Benson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Kavanaugh | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Fox | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Hendrick | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Nourse | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| P. Zestermann | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter