🐻⬇️🏀

Morgan State Bears 80
@
Coppin State Eagles 67
2009-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Morgan State Bears Coppin State Eagles Spread Result
Elo 92.9% 7.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 90.2% 9.8% - ✓
Margin 88.9% 11.1% -11.5 ✓ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 76.4% 23.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 93.3% 6.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 73.3% 26.7% - ✓

Actual: Coppin State Eagles -13 (67-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Thompson 37 5-8 0-0 5-8 14 1 2 1 5 15 20 -
R. Holmes 35 8-18 3-7 5-7 4 0 1 1 1 24 11 -
R. Stokes 33 1-4 0-0 5-6 6 0 0 0 1 7 8 -
D. Jackson 27 3-9 2-5 3-5 9 1 2 0 1 11 13 -
D. Smith 25 0-2 0-2 4-5 6 3 1 0 6 4 6 -
S. Thomas 21 2-4 0-0 1-3 1 4 2 0 1 5 7 -
J. Davis 14 1-6 1-4 4-5 1 3 1 0 2 7 4 -
A. Ali 7 3-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
J. Long 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Coppin State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Goldsberry 31 6-8 0-1 2-3 4 5 3 1 0 14 19 -
B. Doughty 27 3-5 0-0 3-5 8 0 1 4 2 9 15 -
K. Brown 25 2-10 2-7 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 8 -6 -
C. Kucinskas 22 6-8 0-0 3-5 3 0 0 0 0 15 10 -
Q. Reggins 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
L. Young 22 1-14 0-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 2 -11 -
G. Jackson 20 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 2 2 0 3 4 2 -
E. Hayden 19 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 5 6 -
S. Coleman 12 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 8 7 -

* = starter