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2009-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 7.1% 92.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% -
Margin 22.0% 78.0% +7.0 (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 27.2% 72.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.3% 96.7% -
Log Adjusted 3.1% 96.9% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +7 (84-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Arnold 34 5-14 2-9 1-3 5 4 4 0 7 13 5 -
I. Okoye 34 8-10 0-0 4-4 9 1 0 1 3 20 18 -
A. Thomas 30 4-8 2-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 10 5 -
L. Anderson 29 5-8 3-5 1-2 0 2 1 0 2 14 7 -
Z. Moritz 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 6 9 -
K. Cunningham 16 2-3 0-0 4-5 2 3 1 0 1 8 10 -
W. Perryman 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 2 -1 -
D. Montreal 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
P. Noonan 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Davis 36 8-19 0-0 0-1 12 1 1 0 2 16 9 -
D.J. Richardson 33 3-8 2-5 6-6 3 4 0 0 2 14 11 -
D. McCamey 26 8-11 4-5 3-4 1 2 1 0 6 23 10 -
M. Tisdale 23 4-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 2 2 10 10 -
B. Paul 23 4-10 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 10 2 -
B. Cole 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 0 5 -
J. Jordan 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Keller 15 4-8 0-1 0-3 1 2 5 0 0 8 8 -
T. Griffey 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 3 4 -
A. Legion 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Chisholm 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter