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2009-12-05

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico State Aggies New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 12.9% 87.1% -
Bradley-Terry 30.7% 69.3% -
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 (9.4 off)
Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% -

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +17 (75-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young 31 5-9 0-2 4-4 7 1 1 0 5 14 9 -
H. Laroche 30 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 6 2 -3 -
H. Rahman 29 1-5 0-0 1-2 6 2 2 3 6 3 5 -
T. Watson 25 2-5 1-3 1-2 3 2 2 0 2 6 6 -
G. Castillo 22 4-7 1-4 8-9 5 0 0 0 1 17 14 -
J. Gibson 22 3-8 3-7 1-4 3 0 2 0 5 10 2 -
K. Merker 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
T. Britt 9 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 2 -
R. Lumpkins 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Gomez 6 0-2 0-2 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 1 -1 -
B. Sy 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Martinez 36 6-12 5-8 4-4 8 1 5 0 3 21 20 -
D. Hobson 31 6-13 0-2 2-4 6 4 1 0 3 14 9 -
A.J. Hardeman 29 5-8 0-0 2-3 8 0 2 2 1 12 15 -
P. McDonald 22 1-7 0-5 3-4 3 2 1 0 0 5 4 -
D. Gary 20 2-5 0-1 1-2 2 3 1 0 2 5 4 -
N. Garth 18 4-6 2-3 1-2 1 2 1 0 3 11 6 -
J. Fenton 18 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 4 3 0 2 5 6 -
W. Brown 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
C. Dennis 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Adams 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 1 2 -

* = starter