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2009-12-05

Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% -
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% -
Margin 6.8% 93.2% +14.4 (5.4 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +9 (80-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Evans 34 8-13 0-0 1-6 6 1 0 0 2 17 9 -
P. Horne 32 4-9 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 9 3 -
D.J. Kennedy 30 5-10 3-6 5-5 4 9 0 0 1 18 20 -
M. Boothe 28 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 7 3 -
J. Brownlee 21 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 4 2 -
D. Hardy 20 3-8 1-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 7 3 -
D. Coker 19 2-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 3 1 5 11 -
O. Lawrence 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
M. Stith 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Burrell 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scheyer 39 4-14 2-8 5-5 3 6 0 2 0 15 12 -
K. Singler 39 6-18 1-3 4-7 8 3 4 0 1 17 13 -
N. Smith 31 5-11 2-3 4-5 0 3 0 0 0 16 8 -
L. Thomas 30 5-7 0-0 1-1 8 1 0 0 0 11 13 -
A. Dawkins 21 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
B. Zoubek 18 4-5 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 1 3 11 12 -
M. Plumlee 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 2 3 -
M. Plumlee 7 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
R. Kelly 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 2 6 -

* = starter