Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +12 (62-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 36 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | - |
| G. Rogers | 34 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 30 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| N. Larson | 29 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Jones | 23 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Lepley | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Wallace | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Howard | 35 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| B. Johnson | 34 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| M. Navarre | 33 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| W. Bynum | 31 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| E. Rush | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Anderson | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Brown | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Louff | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Henderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter