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2009-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 35.2% 64.8% -
Bradley-Terry 55.1% 44.9% -
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 (36.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -
Efficiency 93.5% 6.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.3% 87.7% -
Log Adjusted 12.1% 87.9% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +37 (106-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Armstead 32 5-12 1-3 1-2 4 2 3 0 3 12 6 -
L. Longmire 26 4-13 1-2 2-2 9 1 1 0 1 11 8 -
T. Williams 26 2-11 0-2 4-6 5 1 2 0 2 8 3 -
E.J. Singler 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 2 -2 -
G. Sim 23 3-9 1-4 0-0 6 0 2 0 2 7 4 -
J. Wilson 18 3-13 0-3 5-5 7 0 0 0 2 11 3 -
M. Dunigan 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
J. Crittle 12 1-1 0-0 4-6 3 0 0 0 0 6 8 -
J. Jacob 11 0-4 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
D. Wiley 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
T. Porter 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Ramsey 24 2-3 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 1 3 7 8 -
Z. Taylor 23 6-10 4-5 0-0 5 4 2 0 1 16 16 -
M. Denmon 22 6-13 4-10 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 17 10 -
L. Bowers 21 5-6 0-0 4-4 7 5 2 1 1 14 22 -
K. English 21 6-12 2-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 14 6 -
M. Dixon Jr. 20 3-7 1-4 3-5 3 3 1 0 0 10 10 -
J. Safford 20 3-4 2-2 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 9 11 -
M. Paul 14 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 6 1 0 4 2 5 -
S. Moore 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 2 0 0 4 -
J.T. Tiller 13 3-4 0-1 4-4 0 0 0 0 3 10 3 -
J. Underwood 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Stone 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
J. Sutton 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter