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2009-12-05

Model Predictions

Model UMass Minutemen Holy Cross Crusaders Spread Result
Elo 62.0% 38.0% -
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% -
Margin 67.8% 32.2% -4.1 (16.9 off)

Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders -21 (63-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Harris 30 6-10 4-6 3-3 3 6 0 0 4 19 14 -
A. Gurley 26 7-12 2-3 2-2 5 3 0 0 1 18 13 -
D. Gibbs 23 2-3 1-2 2-2 5 4 2 0 2 7 13 -
F. Riley 17 4-11 2-6 2-4 5 1 0 0 1 12 6 -
S. Carter 17 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 5 5 -
G. Correia 17 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 6 7 -
H. Bailey 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 3 1 4 13 -
S. Carter 14 2-5 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 0 2 5 2 -
T. Vinson 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
M. Hill 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Farrell 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
T. Lang 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Mongo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Holy Cross Crusaders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R.J. Evans 34 6-14 0-0 6-10 4 3 0 0 0 18 11 -
E. Meister 30 4-9 0-0 1-3 7 0 1 1 2 9 7 -
A. Beinert 28 3-9 2-5 4-4 0 0 3 0 2 12 4 -
M. Cavataio 27 3-7 0-0 0-2 3 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
A. Keister 26 4-8 0-0 4-6 4 1 0 0 0 12 9 -
D. Brown 21 1-6 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 3 1 -
D. Goens 12 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 1 4 -
A. May 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
P. Beans 6 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Stevens 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Jones 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Obeysekere 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
C. Mills 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter