Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ginyard | 37 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Davis | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| L. Drew II | 25 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Thompson | 24 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| W. Graves | 20 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| D. Strickland | 16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Zeller | 14 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Wear | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Henson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| T. Wear | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. McDonald | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Watts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Patterson | 37 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| D. Miller | 32 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Wall | 32 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 14 | - |
| R. Harris | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Orton | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Dodson | 18 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Bledsoe | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| D. Cousins | 15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| P. Stevenson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Harrellson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter