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2009-12-05

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% -
Margin 25.8% 74.2% +5.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 18.5% 81.5% -
Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Ginyard 37 2-7 1-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 5 4 -
E. Davis 34 3-6 0-0 3-5 10 0 1 3 2 9 15 -
L. Drew II 25 3-9 0-4 0-0 1 6 0 0 4 6 0 -
D. Thompson 24 6-13 0-0 2-3 9 0 1 1 1 14 11 -
W. Graves 20 4-10 4-7 1-2 0 2 2 0 2 13 5 -
D. Strickland 16 2-5 1-1 0-0 0 1 3 0 2 5 2 -
T. Zeller 14 5-10 0-1 0-1 5 0 1 0 1 10 5 -
D. Wear 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Henson 9 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
T. Wear 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
L. McDonald 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Watts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Patterson 37 8-12 1-1 2-2 7 0 1 1 2 19 14 -
D. Miller 32 3-7 2-5 0-0 4 1 2 2 0 8 10 -
J. Wall 32 5-10 1-2 5-7 5 7 3 0 7 16 14 -
R. Harris 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 2 3 -
D. Orton 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 1 0 5 -
D. Dodson 18 3-7 2-6 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 9 7 -
E. Bledsoe 17 2-7 0-2 5-6 1 2 0 0 4 9 1 -
D. Cousins 15 2-7 0-0 1-5 5 0 0 1 1 5 3 -
P. Stevenson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
J. Harrellson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter