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2009-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 5.6% 94.4% -
Bradley-Terry 25.9% 74.1% -
Margin 17.2% 82.8% +8.7 (21.3 off)
Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -

Actual: Murray State Racers +30 (86-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harper 33 6-10 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 15 5 -
K. Faried 33 6-8 0-0 2-5 14 0 2 2 0 14 24 -
M. Stallworth 29 1-6 1-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 3 5 -
B. Shingles 27 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 4 -4 -
T. Hill 23 3-9 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 0 -
S. Peterson 23 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 4 0 -
L. Simmons 16 1-5 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 5 -4 -
S. Goodman 14 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Beharie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B.J. Jenkins 24 6-11 4-9 1-2 3 7 1 1 2 17 16 -
D. Thomas 22 6-9 3-5 3-6 2 2 1 0 1 18 13 -
I. Aska 21 4-7 0-0 2-3 1 0 1 0 0 10 5 -
I. Canaan 21 2-6 1-4 2-5 4 2 1 0 1 7 7 -
I. Miles 20 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 7 4 -
D. Poole 18 2-3 2-3 3-4 3 2 0 1 0 9 12 -
T. Easley 18 2-4 0-0 0-1 4 2 1 1 0 4 8 -
J. McClain 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Long 15 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
E. Daniel 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 0 3 5 -
A.J. Wilson 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
G. Fotso 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter