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2009-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 58.0% 42.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 73.0% 27.0% - โœ“
Margin 57.4% 42.6% -1.6 โœ“ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 68.4% 31.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% - โœ“

Actual: Colgate Raiders -10 (66-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. McLemore 38 2-10 1-5 6-7 2 1 0 0 1 11 3 -
S. McNally 33 7-12 0-1 6-9 9 0 1 2 3 20 17 -
M. Burnatowski 29 3-4 0-1 1-3 5 0 1 0 1 7 8 -
J. Bernal 24 2-3 0-0 3-3 6 1 1 1 1 7 12 -
T. Barnies 22 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 2 3 -
T. Mitchell 20 6-8 6-8 6-7 0 1 0 1 0 24 18 -
A. Rogers 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 3 1 0 2 1 4 -
M. Allison 14 0-3 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. Chetinov 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Gyawu 34 8-15 0-0 1-6 5 1 2 0 0 17 10 -
K. Roemer 33 5-13 1-6 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 13 5 -
B. Jonson 31 5-12 1-4 6-6 5 0 1 0 2 17 9 -
M. Rolls 28 2-8 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 5 -1 -
A. Hill 23 0-5 0-3 4-4 4 2 0 0 0 4 5 -
N. Pascale 20 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 2 6 7 -
J. Hoban 19 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Bogdanovic 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
B. James 3 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Melville 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter