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2009-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 72.7% 27.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% -
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% -
Log Adjusted 62.1% 37.9% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Higgins 39 5-12 1-3 4-4 3 3 1 1 2 15 9 -
A. Burks 36 7-13 0-2 5-7 9 1 2 0 3 19 15 -
M. Relphorde 29 3-9 2-4 5-6 1 0 1 0 0 13 6 -
N. Tomlinson 26 1-5 0-3 0-3 3 3 0 0 2 2 1 -
D. Thorne II 19 2-5 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
K. Hornbuckle 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
S. Harris-Tunks 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
A. Dufault 12 3-5 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
C. Crawford 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Tarver 32 6-10 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 14 10 -
C. Haynes 30 6-9 2-3 5-7 4 1 0 1 3 19 13 -
J. Cunningham 27 3-6 0-0 7-7 1 1 2 0 0 13 11 -
D. Deane 21 1-2 0-1 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 3 6 -
R. Schaftenaar 21 1-3 0-0 8-8 5 0 0 0 0 10 12 -
J. Tarver 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 4 5 -
J. Burton 19 2-7 0-0 2-4 4 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
A. Brandt 13 0-1 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Wallace 8 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 3 2 -
O. Johnson 7 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Hampton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter