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2009-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 13.0% 87.0% -
Bradley-Terry 21.3% 78.7% -
Margin 11.8% 88.2% +11.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 19.5% 80.5% -
Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% -
Log Adjusted 4.5% 95.5% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +17 (71-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones 37 6-14 0-0 0-2 4 4 0 0 6 12 0 -
S. Johannsen 29 6-9 0-0 4-8 4 1 1 0 2 16 11 -
G. Rogers 28 3-9 2-6 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 8 3 -
D. Jones 27 0-3 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 1 -2 -
N. Larson 24 3-5 3-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 9 10 -
J. Olubuyi 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Saldivar 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 5 3 -
J. Lepley 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 1 5 -
R. Wallace 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Flores 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 32 8-11 0-0 6-6 2 2 3 0 2 22 16 -
W. Cherry 30 5-10 0-1 0-1 2 5 2 0 2 10 7 -
R. Staudacher 24 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. McGillis 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
V. Banny 17 2-3 0-0 1-1 7 0 2 0 1 5 10 -
B. Qvale 16 2-3 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 2 4 7 -
D. Selvig 16 3-7 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 6 6 -
M. Taylor 14 3-6 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 2 -
S. Stockton 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
R. Young 10 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
M. Ward 9 3-4 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 1 6 2 -

* = starter