Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +17 (71-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Jones | 37 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 0 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| G. Rogers | 28 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Jones | 27 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
| N. Larson | 24 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Lepley | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| R. Wallace | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Flores | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| W. Cherry | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. McGillis | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V. Banny | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| B. Qvale | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Selvig | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Taylor | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| S. Stockton | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Young | 10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Ward | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
* = starter