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2009-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% -
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 (22.5 off)
Pythagorean 71.4% 28.6% -
Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.5% 7.5% -
Log Adjusted 92.6% 7.4% -

Actual: Montana State Bobcats +24 (87-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Figures 37 6-16 4-12 8-8 2 3 1 0 1 24 13 -
Y. Bonner 28 0-3 0-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 2 -1 -
M. Proctor 25 3-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 3 6 5 -
D. Beitzel 23 3-6 1-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 7 8 -
C. Kaba 22 1-4 0-1 0-1 5 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
E. Lloyd 19 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
N. Kingman 17 1-7 0-5 2-3 3 0 0 0 3 4 -3 -
H. Brereton 10 2-6 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
T. Montgomery 8 2-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
C. Osborne 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
D. Arnold 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Navarre 35 6-11 4-5 6-8 3 1 2 0 3 22 14 -
B. Howard 34 8-12 3-7 2-4 9 1 0 0 1 21 18 -
E. Rush 34 3-7 1-1 7-8 5 4 0 0 2 14 14 -
W. Bynum 31 4-9 0-2 2-2 6 5 2 0 1 10 13 -
B. Johnson 26 3-9 1-6 4-4 5 3 1 0 0 11 11 -
A. Brown 16 2-5 1-2 4-6 3 0 0 3 0 9 10 -
C. Henderson 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 4 -
C. Anderson 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Louff 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Piepoli 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter