๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2009-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 15.4% 84.6% +10.7 โœ— (14.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 19.0% 81.0% - โœ—
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.2 โœ— (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 6.7% 93.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 26.1% 73.9% - โœ—

Actual: Portland Pilots -4 (82-86). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Melvin Jones 33 6-15 5-10 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 17 3 -
Dominic Waters 33 6-11 3-4 8-8 1 9 0 0 5 23 17 -
Jamie Jones 30 4-7 0-0 0-0 11 2 0 1 2 8 13 -
Julius Thomas 27 2-3 0-0 0-1 7 1 3 1 0 4 13 -
P. Nelson 26 5-10 2-6 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 13 4 -
P. Guede 24 4-5 3-3 1-2 4 1 0 1 3 12 10 -
C. Harriel 13 0-0 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 0 0 3 5 -
Dane Johnson 9 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 7 -
P. Thomas 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T.J. Campbell 37 5-12 3-4 2-2 4 8 2 2 1 15 18 -
N. Raivio 33 6-15 0-5 5-7 2 3 1 0 2 17 6 -
Robin Smeulders 31 7-11 0-0 6-6 9 1 0 1 2 20 18 -
Luke Sikma 24 4-7 0-0 0-2 6 5 2 0 0 8 14 -
J. Stohl 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
K. Knutson 20 3-3 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
E. Niedermeyer 15 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 8 1 -
T. Ito 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Hannibal 4 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
N. Mitrovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter