Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.3% | 82.7% | +8.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -2 (57-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Marcial | 35 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - |
| S. Toles-Bey | 34 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Dickson | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. Flaggs | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Eller | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Daniel | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Selling | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| D. Bjegovic | 12 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Stigall | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 39 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 10 | - |
| R. Howley | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Calegari | 30 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Harden | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Floyd | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Welch | 23 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| A. Malik | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Medlock | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter