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USC Trojans 50
@
Texas Longhorns 69
2009-12-03

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 43.0% 57.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.9% 74.1% - ✓
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.8 ✓ (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% - ✓
Efficiency 20.7% 79.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 12.9% 87.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 12.5% 87.5% - ✓

Actual: Texas Longhorns +19 (69-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lewis 36 7-20 0-4 1-1 1 0 2 1 4 15 -5 -
N. Vucevic 31 8-13 0-0 2-2 14 1 1 1 2 18 20 -
M. Johnson 30 2-14 0-1 2-2 4 0 3 1 2 6 -2 -
A. Stepheson 30 0-8 0-0 1-4 8 0 0 2 3 1 0 -
D. Smith 29 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 5 -3 -
M. Simmons 26 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 2 2 2 5 7 -
E. Smith 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Rozitis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Wetherell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. James 32 6-14 0-2 7-10 9 1 1 1 1 19 16 -
D. Balbay 28 3-4 0-1 1-4 4 4 2 1 1 7 13 -
J. Brown 28 3-10 1-6 4-4 4 2 0 1 2 11 6 -
D. Pittman 25 5-8 0-0 3-6 5 0 1 7 1 13 17 -
J. Mason 22 2-3 1-1 2-2 6 0 2 0 2 7 10 -
A. Bradley 20 2-10 0-0 2-6 2 2 2 0 1 6 1 -
J. Hamilton 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
A. Wangmene 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
G. Johnson 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Hill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter