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2009-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% -
Margin 28.7% 71.3% +5.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 82.2% 17.8% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.0% 20.0% -
Log Adjusted 79.8% 20.2% -

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights +14 (58-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Davis 37 6-15 2-6 6-8 4 1 2 0 2 20 10 -
M. Schroeder 37 1-6 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
P. Buczak 29 1-6 1-2 2-2 6 2 1 2 1 5 9 -
P. Saunders 25 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
I. Hummer 15 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
D. Mavraides 15 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 3 -1 -
Z. Finley 14 2-7 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 2 4 -2 -
N. Lake 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
W. Barrett 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 2 0 1 -
B. Connolly 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
K. Maddox 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Comfort 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Rosario 32 2-12 2-4 3-4 4 0 2 0 2 9 1 -
J. Mitchell 27 5-7 1-2 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 11 7 -
M. Coburn 25 0-3 0-2 3-4 4 4 1 0 1 3 8 -
G. Echenique 24 5-8 0-0 11-12 11 1 0 3 2 21 26 -
D. Miller 23 1-3 0-0 3-3 7 4 0 2 1 5 14 -
J. Beatty 22 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
P. Jackson 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
H. Ndiaye 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 4 4 4 1 -
A. Johnson 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 0 0 -
B. Okam 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Hasani 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Kuhn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter