Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.6% | 61.4% | +2.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +6 (72-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Lucas | 0 | 10-21 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 13 | |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 3-13 | -2 | 7-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 3 | |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 0 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ||
| C. Shegog | 0 | 1-8 | - | - | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3 | ||
| L. Broomfield | 0 | 1-2 | - | - | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Washington | 0 | 3-7 | -1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 |
| A. Jefferson | 0 | 4-7 | - | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | ||
| A. DeHaan | 0 | 6-10 | - | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 4 | ||
| B. Thomas | 0 | 1-2 | -1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | |
| L. Johnson | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 |
* = starter