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2009-12-02

Model Predictions

Model TCU Horned Frogs SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% -
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% -
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.0% 69.0% -
Efficiency 28.0% 72.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.3% 77.7% -
Log Adjusted 22.3% 77.7% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -7 (53-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Moss 36 4-11 2-4 4-4 2 6 1 1 4 14 9 -
Z. Buljan 34 5-12 0-3 4-4 9 4 2 0 6 14 11 -
E. Ruzgas 33 7-10 4-5 4-4 7 0 0 0 0 22 19 -
K. Mitchem 27 2-2 1-1 2-3 1 2 1 0 0 7 9 -
N. Cerina 23 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
K. Butler 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 -
G. Green 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
G. Hill 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
X. Roberson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Williams 38 6-12 0-1 4-7 2 2 3 0 1 16 10 -
M. Faye 35 5-13 0-6 1-3 12 2 1 3 2 11 14 -
J. Haynes 34 1-5 0-2 0-2 1 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
P. Dia 24 8-10 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 16 10 -
P. McCoy 22 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 0 0 -
R. Clinkscales 20 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
F. Otis 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 4 4 -
R. Nyakundi 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Harp 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter