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2009-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 57.0% 43.0% -
Bradley-Terry 72.1% 27.9% -
Margin 73.4% 26.6% -5.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.3% 48.7% -
Efficiency 82.4% 17.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.2% 17.8% -
Log Adjusted 81.8% 18.2% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 40 10-17 1-4 7-7 6 3 1 1 3 28 19 -
J. Scheyer 39 2-7 0-3 6-6 3 4 1 0 1 10 10 -
N. Smith 37 5-17 1-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 13 1 -
A. Dawkins 22 4-4 4-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 12 12 -
L. Thomas 22 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
M. Plumlee 21 3-3 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 2 6 9 -
M. Plumlee 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Zoubek 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hughes 38 9-16 4-7 4-4 2 2 1 1 0 26 16 -
J. Bohannon 38 3-9 0-6 4-4 4 4 0 0 0 10 9 -
J. Leuer 33 6-14 1-3 4-8 7 1 1 1 0 17 13 -
K. Nankivil 26 3-5 2-2 0-1 4 5 1 1 1 8 13 -
J. Taylor 22 2-6 0-0 1-2 4 4 1 1 2 5 7 -
R. Evans 21 1-6 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 1 2 6 -
T. Jarmusz 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Berggren 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Bruesewitz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter