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2009-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 4.6% 95.4% -
Bradley-Terry 18.4% 81.6% -
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Log Adjusted 39.4% 60.6% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -4 (58-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Raji 37 11-16 0-1 2-5 9 3 1 0 1 24 20 -
B. Paris 37 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 6 3 -
J. Trapani 36 3-7 1-2 4-4 12 2 0 3 0 11 21 -
R. Jackson 28 4-12 2-5 5-8 8 6 0 1 2 15 16 -
J. Southern 26 1-4 0-0 2-3 2 2 0 0 1 4 3 -
T. Roche 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 2 0 -
C. Dunn 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 0 4 -
D. Elmore 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
E. Ravenel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Novak 35 3-11 3-9 0-1 3 1 2 0 2 9 2 -
M. Harris 35 7-18 1-6 4-4 7 6 2 0 1 19 15 -
L. Lucas-Perry 26 2-7 0-3 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 5 3 -
S. Douglass 26 3-8 2-7 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 8 1 -
D. Sims 23 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
Z. Gibson 16 3-6 2-3 1-2 5 0 1 2 0 9 11 -
D. Morris 15 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 -
M. Vogrich 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Wright 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Cronin 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter