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2009-12-02

Model Predictions

Model UMBC Retrievers Towson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 14.7% 85.3% +9.7 (4.7 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Towson Tigers +5 (82-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Gilliam 33 5-9 1-3 2-2 3 3 3 0 4 13 9 -
C. De La Rosa 31 3-10 0-1 4-6 5 7 0 0 4 10 8 -
R. Jackson 30 2-5 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 3 1 7 15 -
N. Groce 29 0-4 0-3 2-2 1 5 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Grant 26 10-14 4-6 4-6 5 1 2 0 0 28 22 -
A. Satchell 23 5-10 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 1 11 4 -
M. Spadafora 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 3 2 -
J. Wasco 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Neller 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lee 33 3-14 0-0 3-4 5 3 1 0 1 9 3 -
R. Nwankwo 31 8-9 0-0 1-4 14 2 2 4 1 17 29 -
J. Thornton 31 8-15 7-12 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 23 8 -
T. Franklin 27 1-6 1-2 1-2 3 10 3 0 3 4 11 -
R. Polk 22 6-12 2-4 0-0 2 1 2 2 1 14 8 -
J. Smith 15 0-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
B. Morris 13 1-2 0-1 1-1 0 7 0 0 1 3 7 -
J. Brown 10 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 1 2 -
I. Philmore 9 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
E. Gumbs 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
D. Brewster 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter