Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✗ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats -2 (72-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Bellfield | 41 | 2-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| T. Willis | 40 | 9-19 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 9 | - |
| D. Jasper | 39 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| K. Wallace | 26 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Shaw | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Stanback | 23 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Santee | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Marshall | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Massamba | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Wise | 43 | 3-13 | 1-8 | 12-12 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| J. Horne | 40 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Lavender | 37 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| L. Jones | 32 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| D. Williams | 32 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 19 | - |
| S. Hill | 29 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Fogg | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Natyazhko | 18 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter