Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.4% | 37.6% | -2.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 34 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
| T. Franklin | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. McFarland | 26 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| A. Nigon | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| A. Ogide | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| P. Hornung | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| A. Dunn | 19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Annese | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| G. Smith | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Beitzel | 36 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| T. Montgomery | 35 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Y. Bonner | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Kaba | 24 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| W. Figures | 23 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| E. Lloyd | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Proctor | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| N. Kingman | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| H. Brereton | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Osborne | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Arnold | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter