Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Jackson State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.3% | 33.7% | -5.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.7% | 22.3% | -6.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jackson State Tigers -11 (68-79). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Williams | 40 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 7-11 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Walt Harris | 38 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Glynn | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Denzel Barnes | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jereal Scott | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| E. Bell | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Will Reinke | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| O. Tims | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Mark Gomillia | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Falke | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Johnson | 37 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Cason Burk | 32 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Hanson | 31 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 3-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Rod Melvin | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| De'Suan Dixon | 21 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Gertavian Blake | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Phillip Williams | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Raymond Gregory | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Lewis | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Oliver Jefferson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Swanier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jazmonn Major | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christian Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter