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Fairfield Stags 80
@
Hofstra Pride 84
2009-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Fairfield Stags Hofstra Pride Spread Result
Elo 43.4% 56.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 58.6% 41.4% - ✗
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 ✓ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 41.5% 58.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - ✓

Actual: Hofstra Pride +4 (84-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fairfield Stags

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Needham 38 8-17 5-11 5-10 4 6 1 1 2 26 19 -
A. Johnson 37 10-16 0-0 2-8 12 2 0 0 3 22 17 -
Y. Hawkins 29 8-13 0-2 6-7 5 1 1 0 1 22 15 -
L. Jordan 28 0-3 0-3 1-2 6 4 0 0 2 1 6 -
M. Evanovich 21 1-6 0-5 0-0 4 4 0 1 1 2 4 -
S. Crawford 15 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
R. Olander 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 2 2 2 5 -
C. Nickerson 12 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
S. Johnson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Hofstra Pride

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jenkins 39 12-17 5-7 9-9 5 1 1 0 4 38 24 -
N. Lester 33 7-12 1-3 3-4 4 1 2 2 1 18 14 -
C. Williams 27 2-5 0-1 2-3 1 4 1 0 1 6 6 -
H. Kanacevic 26 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 2 0 3 5 -
C. Vines 23 0-2 0-1 2-3 5 4 1 0 2 2 8 -
M. Szabo 22 2-5 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
G. Washington 16 2-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 1 1 5 4 -
Y. Jules 8 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
D. Imes 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter