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2009-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 9.7% 90.3% -
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 11.3% 88.7% +11.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.3% 91.7% -
Log Adjusted 8.0% 92.0% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +4 (63-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 38 5-14 0-5 0-0 2 5 3 0 4 10 2 -
R. Staudacher 35 3-7 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
J. McGillis 27 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 5 3 -
B. Qvale 26 5-9 0-0 3-4 14 1 0 3 1 13 21 -
W. Cherry 19 6-7 1-2 2-4 1 0 1 0 6 15 4 -
M. Taylor 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
M. Ward 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Selvig 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
V. Banny 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
R. Young 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
S. Stockton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Pondexter 34 2-10 0-0 3-3 7 2 3 0 1 7 8 -
I. Thomas 30 5-16 2-6 1-2 1 3 1 0 4 13 -2 -
E. Turner Jr. 28 4-8 2-6 1-3 5 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 22 3-5 0-0 2-4 8 0 2 0 3 8 10 -
V. Overton 20 3-7 1-2 3-4 3 4 0 1 0 10 11 -
A. Gaddy 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -3 -
S. Suggs 16 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
T. Breshers 16 2-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
D. Gant 7 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Holiday 6 0-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
C. Trent 4 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter