Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +18.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +23 (89-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Howard | 34 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Johnson | 32 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| W. Bynum | 30 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. Rush | 27 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| M. Navarre | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Brown | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| B. Louff | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Anderson | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 10 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| C. Henderson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 29 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| L. Longmire | 26 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| E.J. Singler | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17 | - |
| J. Jacob | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| G. Sim | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Armstead | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - |
| J. Wilson | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Dunigan | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Wiley | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Fearn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Elorriaga | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter