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2009-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% -
Bradley-Terry 52.7% 47.3% -
Margin 53.4% 46.6% -0.8 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 61.9% 38.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.5% 79.5% -
Log Adjusted 20.6% 79.4% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Harris 37 7-17 1-6 11-13 10 2 5 0 3 26 23 -
Z. Novak 33 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 2 3 0 0 3 7 -
D. Sims 33 6-14 1-4 3-5 6 0 0 1 2 16 7 -
L. Lucas-Perry 32 2-7 2-6 0-0 1 4 2 0 2 6 4 -
D. Morris 22 1-5 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 4 4 0 -
S. Douglass 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 3 8 -
A. Wright 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -
Z. Gibson 8 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 6 4 -
M. Vogrich 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Torrance 36 4-6 1-2 2-2 6 8 2 0 3 11 18 -
J. Knox 29 3-7 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 2 8 5 -
J. Green 27 9-15 0-0 2-3 7 0 0 4 4 20 12 -
A. Brock 26 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 3 4 -
C. Davis 22 4-9 4-8 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 12 3 -
T. Mitchell 21 4-5 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 9 9 -
S. Hillman 19 2-7 1-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 5 0 -
A. Steele 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 0 2 -
B. Eblen 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Hines 3 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter