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2009-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 2.7% 97.3% -
Bradley-Terry 7.1% 92.9% -
Margin 1.0% 99.0% +25.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 21.2% 78.8% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Ginyard 36 4-11 1-2 1-4 6 4 4 1 0 10 14 -
D. Thompson 33 10-17 0-0 3-5 8 3 1 0 0 23 18 -
L. Drew II 32 4-7 2-3 2-3 3 10 0 0 1 12 17 -
E. Davis 30 6-9 0-0 4-8 15 2 1 3 2 16 26 -
W. Graves 21 2-8 0-2 2-3 5 0 0 1 0 6 4 -
T. Zeller 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
D. Wear 9 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
J. Henson 9 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 7 4 -
D. Strickland 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Watts 5 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
T. Wear 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Shegog 0 4-6 0-0 0-2 8 1 1 2 3 8 11 -
T. Ruffin-Pratt 0 6-10 0-1 4-6 8 2 1 0 6 16 11 -
S. White 0 2-8 1-5 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 5 0 -
L. Broomfield 0 6-8 0-0 2-5 11 1 0 3 2 14 19 -
C. DeGraffenreid 0 2-7 0-1 5-6 3 6 3 0 4 9 10 -

* = starter