Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Babbitt | 38 | 5-18 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| B. Fields | 36 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Johnson | 35 | 10-20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 4 | - |
| J. Shaw | 30 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Hunt | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Cukic | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Giles | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Carp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ginyard | 36 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. Thompson | 33 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| L. Drew II | 32 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| E. Davis | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 26 | - |
| W. Graves | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Zeller | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Wear | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Henson | 9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Strickland | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Watts | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Wear | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Shegog | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Ruffin-Pratt | 0 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 11 | - |
| S. White | 0 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| L. Broomfield | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
* = starter