Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +57.2 | ✓ (41.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +16 (91-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bryant | 41 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| D. Lowhorn | 37 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 10-10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| R. Green | 35 | 7-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| A. Caloiaro | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Blackwell | 30 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| M. Diarra | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P. Smith | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Bruha | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Stojiljkovic | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 50 | 5-19 | 3-11 | 4-4 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| A. Nigon | 43 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| T. Franklin | 38 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 22 | - |
| A. McFarland | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| P. Hornung | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 24 | - |
| G. Smith | 28 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| A. Ogide | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Dunn | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter