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2009-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers San José State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 67.7% 32.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 61.4% 38.6% - ✗
Margin 59.8% 40.2% -2.2 ✗ (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.7% 39.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 72.6% 27.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 72.6% 27.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 55.0% 45.0% - ✗

Actual: San José State Spartans +4 (59-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ford 33 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 4 1 1 2 4 10 -
M. Nunnally 32 8-12 0-0 0-1 6 1 1 0 2 16 10 -
S. Willard 31 2-9 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
T. Smith 28 3-8 1-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 4 7 -2 -
L. Neufville 28 6-10 1-1 2-2 0 1 2 0 1 15 7 -
A. Huddleston 18 2-5 0-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
P. Eveland 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
D. Young 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
N. Williams 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Webster 36 5-12 0-0 2-4 14 3 2 0 2 12 17 -
A. Oliver 36 4-12 1-2 1-2 2 4 0 0 3 10 1 -
J. Graham 32 3-15 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 6 -3 -
R. Owens 31 8-12 6-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 22 9 -
C. Oakes 31 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 6 11 -
M. Peterson 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
K. Thomas 13 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 -
C. Jones 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Moor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter