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Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 68
@
TCU Horned Frogs 63
2009-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Louisiana Tech Bulldogs TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 52.5% 47.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 72.7% 27.3% - ✓
Margin 55.6% 44.4% -1.2 ✓ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 63.0% 37.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 62.4% 37.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% - ✓

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -5 (63-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Guyton 34 3-12 0-6 1-1 3 4 2 0 1 7 3 -
D. Brown 33 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 5 2 -
M. Rolle 27 7-11 0-0 0-1 12 1 0 5 1 14 20 -
D. Jackson 25 2-5 0-0 2-2 9 2 0 1 0 6 13 -
K. Gibson 24 3-13 0-3 13-15 3 3 0 0 0 19 12 -
O. Ashaolu 22 5-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 11 7 -
A. Bartlett 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 4 3 -
Y. Berhe 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Oliverson 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Moss 38 4-14 3-7 2-2 4 8 0 1 5 13 7 -
E. Ruzgas 33 5-10 2-7 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 14 6 -
N. Cerina 30 4-11 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 3 0 10 6 -
K. Butler 23 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
G. Hill 22 2-6 1-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
G. Green 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
K. Mitchem 17 2-3 0-1 0-1 7 0 1 0 1 4 8 -
Z. Buljan 14 5-10 2-2 3-4 6 0 0 0 3 15 8 -
X. Roberson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter