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2009-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 15.9% 84.1% -
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% -
Margin 40.0% 60.0% +2.2 (4.8 off)
Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +7 (74-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Ladd 33 3-10 2-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 4 8 -1 -
P. George 32 6-12 3-4 4-4 9 2 0 1 4 19 15 -
G. Smith 30 2-3 0-0 2-4 6 4 0 1 4 6 10 -
S. Seay 27 8-14 0-0 10-12 9 2 3 2 2 26 26 -
S. Shepp 27 1-2 1-1 1-2 1 2 1 1 2 4 5 -
B. Sperling 26 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 0 2 -
N. Golubovic 18 1-4 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
J. Brown 7 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Foster 34 7-18 5-14 6-6 1 5 0 0 2 25 11 -
T. Payne 33 2-7 0-1 0-2 9 2 1 1 1 4 9 -
M. Trasolini 30 3-8 0-2 3-5 12 1 0 2 3 9 13 -
R. Smith 28 5-13 3-7 4-7 6 2 2 0 2 17 12 -
R. Cowels III 23 4-8 1-2 4-6 2 1 3 0 0 13 11 -
N. Harrison 18 1-4 0-0 0-2 5 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
T. Alexander 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 0 3 -
C. Cunningham 11 2-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
M. Santos 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter