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2009-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Northern Illinois Huskies Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 4.3% 95.7% - โœ“
Margin 2.2% 97.8% +20.9 โœ“ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 24.5% 75.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 14.1% 85.9% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +7 (52-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Illinois Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Anderson 31 2-10 1-5 3-4 4 1 1 0 2 8 2 -
S. Kowal 31 2-9 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 3 5 1 -
T. Nixon 25 3-8 3-6 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 9 7 -
M. DiNunno 24 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 5 -3 -
M. Fakuade 17 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
B. Hall 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 2 1 -
M. Patton 14 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
T. Storm 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
L. Fisher 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Dzepina 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
N. Ervin 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Ahelegbe 35 3-6 1-1 6-10 5 2 1 0 5 13 10 -
A. Farokhmanesh 30 4-10 1-6 2-4 1 0 1 0 1 11 2 -
A. Koch 28 3-7 2-3 7-10 7 0 2 0 1 15 16 -
J. Moran 25 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
L. O'Rear 20 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
K. Dunham 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
J. Eglseder 18 4-7 0-0 0-1 9 0 0 1 2 8 9 -
M. Sonnen 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Koch 8 1-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
A. Rodenberg 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. James 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter