Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.5% | 18.5% | -8.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith | 30 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| E. Sosa | 29 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 4 | - |
| S. Samuels | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| R. Buckles | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| R. Delk | 16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| P. Knowles | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Marra | 14 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Siva | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Kuric | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Jennings | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| G. Goode | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Brickley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Willis | 32 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 5-7 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | - |
| O. Bellfield | 31 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| D. Jasper | 28 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| D. Santee | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Stanback | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Marshall | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Shaw | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Massamba | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Wallace | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter