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2009-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 12.2% 87.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% - โœ—
Margin 83.8% 16.2% -9.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 90.5% 9.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 91.0% 9.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -13 (67-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Murphy 0 4-8 0-0 3-4 8 2 0 0 2 11 11 -
K. Bennett 0 6-9 1-1 2-4 10 2 0 1 1 15 18 -
D. Orsillo 0 7-13 2-4 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 18 8 -
K. Brandon 0 0-5 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Watson 0 3-5 0-1 4-4 4 3 0 0 2 10 10 -

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Evans 0 8-16 1-3 5-6 12 2 1 0 2 22 19 -
T. Davis 0 2-7 1-4 6-6 3 2 0 0 4 11 5 -
T. Wiles 0 5-11 1-2 3-4 5 2 0 1 2 14 9 -
T. Austin 0 2-3 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
G. Washington 0 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 0 -6 -

* = starter