Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.1 | ✓ (24.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +40 (89-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Baker | 33 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Massey | 31 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| R. Brimley | 29 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| S. Friel | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Allen | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| D. Heuir | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Nielson | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -6 | - |
| M. Hodgson | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Weirick | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Bachynski | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Stevenett | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Wesley | 26 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| J. Quayle | 25 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| P. Williams | 23 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| N. Bendall | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| T. Newbold | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Green | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Myaer | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Medlin | 15 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| B. Jardine | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Formisano | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. White | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Niang | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
* = starter